The U.S. economy has remained resilient so far this year, even though the pace of growth has slowed. Gross domestic product (GDP) expanded 1.5% in the second quarter, slowing from 2.1% in the first quarter and missing expectations. Inflation showed signs of cooling, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rising 3.7% year over year in June, down from 4.1% in May, while core PCE eased to 3.3%.

Consumer spending, which drives much of the economy, rose 0.3% in June. Manufacturing offered brighter news; the ISM PMI stayed in expansion territory, climbing to 55.6 in July, its strongest reading since May 2022. Also, the Chicago PMI beat expectations, coming in at 57.6. Consumer sentiment has improved as the University of Michigan's sentiment index rose to 55.2 in July, reflecting growing confidence.

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