Alexandria to Post Q2 Earnings: What to Expect From the Stock?

Alexandria has a decent surprise history. Over the preceding four quarters, its adjusted FFO per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate on two occasions, missed once and met in the remaining period, with the average miss of 0.42%. This is depicted in the graph below:

Factors at Play & Projections for ARE

ARE owns a premium portfolio of Class A/A+ properties in the high-barrier-to-entry markets of the United States. This strategically located property base supports stable long-term demand from high-growth tenants. However, the company’s vast development pipeline exposes it to the risk of lease-up concerns.

The slow re-leasing of expiring spaces in its operating portfolio is likely to have pressured occupancy levels in the quarter under consideration, affecting its revenue growth. According to the first-quarter 2026 earnings call transcript, management had an additional 747,000 square feet of key lease expiries expected to go vacant in 2026, with about 45% of that expected expiring in the to-be-reported quarter, which is likely to weigh on occupancy for the second quarter of 2026.

Moreover, Alexandria’s same-property revenues are likely to have been adversely impacted owing to pressure on occupancy. For the second quarter of 2026, our estimate indicates a 9.3% decrease in same-store revenues and a 18% decline in same-store NOI.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alexandria’s quarterly revenues currently stands at $649 million, suggesting a decrease of 14.8% from the prior-year period’s reported figure.

Alexandria’s activities in the to-be-reported quarter were adequate to garner analysts’ confidence. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarterly adjusted FFO per share has increased a cent to $1.65 over the past month. However, the figure suggests a 29.2% decrease from the year-ago quarter’s tally.

What Our Quantitative Model Predicts for ARE

Our proven model does not conclusively predict a surprise in terms of FFO per share for Alexandria this season. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of an FFO beat, which is not the case here.

Alexandria currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.55% and has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Stocks That Warrant a Look

Here are two stocks from the broader REIT industry — Host Hotels & Resorts HST and Lamar Advertising LAMR — that you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to report a surprise this quarter.

Host Hotels is slated to report quarterly numbers on Aug. 5. HST has an Earnings ESP of +1.73% and carries a Zacks Rank of 2 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

LAMR, scheduled to report quarterly numbers on Aug. 6, has an Earnings ESP of +0.22% and a Zacks Rank of 3.

Note: Anything related to earnings presented in this write-up represents funds from operations (FFO) — a widely used metric to gauge the performance of REITs.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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