APP Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Model Timing, Q3 Reacceleration

APP Pins Q2 Miss on Model Timing

Revenues were $1.92 billion, up 53% year over year and 4% sequentially. However, the top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.94 billion. Earnings per share of $3.76 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of earnings of $3.72.

Co-founder and CEO Adam Foroughi said that the second quarter produced fewer meaningful model gains than normal. He said that demand and competition were stable, MAX publisher earnings grew at a double-digit sequential rate, and AppLovin’s share of publisher waterfalls held steady.

When a William Blair analyst pressed on the missed uplift, Foroughi described model development as uncertain A/B testing. He said that a material improvement landed early in the third quarter after smaller second-quarter gains.

AppLovin Gives Q3 View on Live Model Gains

Chief financial officer Matt Stumpf guided third-quarter revenues of $2.06-$2.09 billion, suggesting 46-48% year-over-year growth and 7-8% sequential growth.

Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $1.71-$1.74 billion, with an 83% margin. The outlook includes deployed model improvements, consumer scaling, normal seasonality, and higher training and inference costs.

Stumpf said that the forecast excludes model releases that have not launched, tying guidance to improvements management can already observe.

APP’s Consumer Growth Runs Above Peak Levels

Foroughi said that consumer advertiser spending finished 28% above the fourth-quarter 2025 levels, even though the fourth quarter is the category’s seasonal peak. He added that current advertisers are finding room to spend more.

Responding to a Jefferies analyst, Foroughi said that growth primarily reflected existing customers rather than new advertisers. Advertisers remain below their spending ceilings because budget reallocations and incrementality studies take multiple quarters.

The CEO maintained that gaming improvements and consumer expansion can support roughly 30% annual growth over the longer term. Consumer is not yet large enough to offset every softer gaming quarter.

AppLovin Targets Mid-Market Through Partnerships

AppLovin opened Ads Manager to the public but is concentrating on mid-market advertisers. CEO Adam Foroughi said that partnerships with attribution and analytics providers offer a targeted route to customers that can supply more transaction data.

A BofA Securities analyst asked whether the platform would depend on many small advertisers or fewer large spenders. Foroughi said that the current model favors the latter, with the long tail becoming more viable as data and models improve.

A Loop Capital analyst focused on creative tools. Foroughi called 30-60-second video creation the largest hurdle and said that inconsistent out-of-the-box video limits one-click campaigns for smaller advertisers.

APP Keeps Compute Spending Tied to Returns

Adjusted EBITDA reached $1.61 billion, up 58%, with an 84% margin. CFO Matt Stumpf said that compute for model training was the main sequential cost increase and reiterated spending of about 10 cents per incremental revenue dollar.

The free cash flow was $863.3 million. Stumpf attributed lower conversion to international tax and interest timing, and expects full-year conversion to normalize near 75% of adjusted EBITDA.

AppLovin spent $551.3 million on repurchases and share withholding, with $1.8 billion left under its authorization. Stumpf tied the slower pace to cash-flow timing and said that the SEC closed its inquiry with no recommended action.

AppLovin’s Priorities After Q2

Foroughi prioritized core model gains, compute-enabled architecture, better creative tools and ad formats, and high-quality advertisers added through partnerships.

Management also kept supply expansion behind advertiser demand. Non-gaming apps would come first, followed by the open web and connected television once consumer budgets can support more inventory without weakening mobile spending.

APP’s Zacks Rank & Style Score Signals

APP has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating a neutral near-term estimate-revision outlook. Its Growth Score of A and Momentum Score of A are favorable, while the Value Score of D reflects weaker value characteristics. The VGM Score of B provides a favorable combined reading. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Style Scores complement the Zacks Rank, with the strongest historical combination centered on Zacks Rank #1 or #2 (Buy) stocks paired with A or B scores. APP’s Rank #3 tempers the positive style signals, and the rank can change as analysts revise estimates after the just-reported results.

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